Bo Nix is facing disrespect with sportsbooks projecting his touchdown passes to be between 23.5 and 24.5, a potential career low for the Broncos quarterback. On 06 Jul 2026, this projection sparked debate among sports analysts.
What's behind the projection?
The projection is based on various factors, including the addition of new play-caller Davis Webb, who may focus more on running the ball. However, Troy Renck believes that Nix will still throw at least 25 touchdowns, given his past performance and the addition of Jaylen Waddle to the team.
Will Nix's numbers drop?
Nix led the league in pass attempts last season with 612, and even if that number dips, he is expected to throw a significant number of touchdowns. Parker Gabriel notes that the Broncos want to run the ball more effectively, but they are still a passing team, leaning on the short game.
What does this mean for the Broncos?
If Nix goes under the betting number, it could take the season down with him. The Broncos are looking to improve their running game, and if they succeed, 24 touchdown passes could be a reasonable expectation. In 2024, the Broncos had only 12 rushing scores, and last year, that number jumped to 18.
Can the Broncos improve their running game?
The Broncos had a run rate of 41.8% last year, which ranked 22nd in the league. They are looking to improve this number, and if they do, it could take some pressure off Nix. Renck notes that the addition of Waddle screams that Nix will throw at least 25 touchdowns, unless he or Waddle gets hurt.
The Broncos are looking to build on their past performance, and Nix's touchdown pass projections will be a key factor in their success. With the new season approaching, all eyes will be on Nix to see if he can exceed the projected numbers and lead the Broncos to victory.